Meta Platforms (META)

Llama models driving massive DC expansion. 30+ data centers, $60B+ capex.

Meta Platforms (META) is a tracked supply-chain name in the data-center buildout in the hyperscaler sector. Data Center Index tracks Meta Platforms's capex history, project wins, and supplier exposure across the AI infrastructure buildout, refreshed daily from SEC filings and project announcements.

Meta Platforms data center thesis

Meta capex doubled from $37.3B in 2024 to $69.7B in 2025, with 2026 guidance of $115-135B and a 21-site portfolio totaling 25.4GW, second only to Microsoft in DC scale. The 2.3GW Hyperion campus in Louisiana and the 5GW Hyperion AI build under construction are the largest single-tenant AI sites ever announced. The thesis is whether Llama and the AI ad-product roadmap actually monetize the $85.3B already committed to projects.

Bull case

  • Meta has 25.4GW across 21 sites with $85.34B in committed project cost, entirely first-party demand, no Azure-style customer concentration risk, and 2025 operating income of $83.3B comfortably funds the 2026 guide without external capital.
  • Capex of this scale is a direct supply-chain pull-through for liquid cooling (Vertiv), nuclear PPAs (Vistra OH/PA uprate), and gas turbines (Hyperion); Meta is the single biggest 2026 buyer of Mortenson construction services.
  • Gross margin of 81.94% TTM gives Meta the most depreciation absorption headroom of any hyperscaler; they can run $130B/year capex for three years and still grow OI if Reality Labs losses stabilize.

Bear case

  • Stock at $609.63 sits at just 32.6% of its 52-week range, year-change of +3.21%, and -23% off the August $794 high; the market is already voting that AI ad-product ROI is not showing up in the prints.
  • Hyperion at 5GW is a $20B+ commitment to a single Louisiana site with on-site gas as the bridge to a nuclear PPA; execution risk on power, water, and grid-tie is concentrated in one campus and one parish.
  • Multiple compression risk: META trades around 25x forward earnings, but if 2026 capex of $130B+ does not produce visible Llama/AI revenue lift in 2H26, the stock derates to mid-teens like a mature-platform peer.

Thesis last reviewed 2026-05-09.

Meta Platforms revenue and capex

In fiscal 2025, Meta Platforms reported revenue of $201.0B, capital spending of $69.7B and operating income of $83.3B.

Fiscal yearRevenueCapexOperating income
2025$201.0B$69.7B$83.3B
2024$164.5B$37.3B$69.4B
2023$134.9B$27.0B$46.8B

From annual reports filed with the SEC; the most recent was filed 2026-01-29.

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