BE: Nov 290/190 put spread

Bloom Energy is up 292% in a year and 8.7% last week, sits at 78% of its 52-week range and trades at 59x forward earnings into Q3 results Yahoo estimates for Oct 27. IV is at the 17th percentile, so puts are cheap for a name the chain still expects to move 26.8%; the 290/190 put spread costs $33.76 on $100 of width.

Structure

  • long put 290 2026-11-20
  • short put 190 2026-11-20

Signals

  • 1-year return: +292% (DB)
  • Forward P/E: 59x; short interest 7.3% of float (web_search)
  • IV percentile (52w): 17th; Nov implied move 26.8% (DB)

What invalidates this thesis

A new behind-the-meter fuel-cell order from a hyperscaler on the call would extend the run; a close above the $351 high ends the thesis.